The forecast for the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in Public Health, Environmental, and Occupational Health in Canada shows a gradual decline from 90.28% in 2024 to 89.53% by 2028. This represents a consistent, albeit slight, year-on-year decrease. The values suggest a potential shift towards a more collaborative authorship model or increased contributions from international partners. Unfortunately, comparable data for 2023 is not provided, preventing a year-on-year analysis from 2023 to 2024. However, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the forecasted five years illustrates a gradual negative trend.
Looking towards the future, key trends to watch include the continuing evolution of collaborative research practices, particularly with global contributors, which may further influence the share of leading authors in Canada. Additionally, shifts in research funding and policy changes can impact authorship dynamics as these elements play a significant role in the structure and focus of scientific publications.
