The forecast for the import of cultured, worked pearls to China indicates a steady decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the volume stood at an estimated 95.2 thousand kilograms. From 2024 onwards, there is a clear downward trajectory, with a year-on-year decrease that accelerates each year, culminating in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years of significant contraction. The data suggests substantial declines averaging in double digits each year, driven by shifting market dynamics and potentially reduced demand or increased local production.

Future trends to watch include:

Potential changes in consumer preferences towards alternative luxury goods or synthetic options.
Policy shifts or trade agreements impacting import duties and production costs.
Emerging market competitors that could influence the global supply chain for pearls.