Forecast: Import of Liquefied Natural Gas to Brazil

The import of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) to Brazil has experienced significant volatility from 2013 to 2023, with notable fluctuations year-on-year. The actual data indicate a sharp decline from 2015 to 2020, followed by a relatively stable period from 2020 to 2023. Specifically, in 2023, the import value stood at 0.7637 Billion USD, reflecting a slight decrease of -2.67% from the previous year. The average annual variation (CAGR) over the last five years was -3.71%.

For the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028, the trend suggests a gradual decrease in imported LNG values, with an expected average annual decline (CAGR) of -2.44%. The overall reduction over the next five years is anticipated to be -11.64%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential shifts in global LNG prices and their impact on Brazil's import decisions.
  • Brazil's increased investment in renewable energy sources potentially reducing reliance on LNG imports.
  • Domestic policy changes affecting the energy sector and LNG import regulations.

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