In 2023, France had approximately 8.5 thousand persons per medical doctor graduate. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady decrease in this ratio, indicating an expected increase in the number of medical doctor graduates relative to the population. Specifically, the ratio is projected to decrease from 8.16 thousand in 2024 to 6.77 thousand in 2028.
Year-on-year percentage decreases from 2024 onwards are as follows:
- 2024 to 2025: -4.4%
- 2025 to 2026: -4.5%
- 2026 to 2027: -4.7%
- 2027 to 2028: -4.6%
The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years indicates an average annual decrease of approximately 4.6% in the population per medical doctor graduate ratio, signaling a positive trend in healthcare education output.
Future trends to watch include potential impacts of policy changes in medical education, allocation of resources to healthcare institutions, and demographic changes that may affect both medical professionals' supply and population growth.
