The production of whole fresh round sardinella in capture fisheries for human consumption in Italy is expected to decline sharply from €432.55 thousand in 2024 to €266.0 thousand by 2028. In 2023, this production stood at €475.0 thousand, with continuous reductions expected yearly. From 2024 to 2025, a notable 9.8% decrease is anticipated, followed by further downturns through 2028, culminating in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -11.1% over the five-year span from 2024.

Continue to monitor regulatory changes in EU fisheries management.
Technological advancements in sustainable fishing and environmental impacts could influence future yields.
Market demand shifts towards alternative seafood sources may further pressure traditional capture fisheries.