In 2023, fossil energy production in Italy stood at 8.15 million tonnes of oil equivalent. The forecasted data from 2024 onwards shows a steady decline in production: 7.75, 7.35, 6.96, 6.56, and 6.17 million tonnes of oil equivalent from 2024 to 2028, respectively. This indicates a year-on-year decrease of approximately 5% from 2024 and suggests a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) decline of about 6% over the five-year period from 2023 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

Italy's shift towards renewable energy sources, which might accelerate given its commitment to sustainability.
Possible policy changes or incentives affecting fossil fuel production, given global climate agreements.
Technological advancements in fossil fuel extraction and usage efficiency.