The forecasted number of male graduates with doctoral or equivalent level credit mobility of at least 3 months or 15 ECTS points shows a steady increase from 2024 to 2028. The year-on-year growth is minimal, with a one-step increase observed each year: from 2024 to 2025 by 0.39%, from 2025 to 2026 by 0.19%, from 2026 to 2027 by 0.39%, and from 2027 to 2028 by 0.19%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecasted period is consistent with the observed yearly increment, indicating a stable but slow growth trend.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of policy changes on international mobility programs, shifts in the job market that may affect willingness or requirement for doctoral-level qualifications, and societal trends influencing male participation in higher education at advanced levels. Monitoring these factors could provide insight into potential deviations from the current forecasted growth path.
