The forecasted share of corresponding/leading author in scientific publications in nuclear energy and engineering in Brazil shows a gradually decreasing trend from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the actual value was slightly higher than 94.75%. The year-on-year variations reflect a steady decline, with each subsequent year experiencing a reduction of approximately 0.12 percentage points. Over the next five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates a consistent decrease in the share, which suggests a slow yet steady shift in authorship distribution in these fields.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of international collaborations which may further dilute the share of Brazilian authors as leading authors. Additionally, monitoring policy changes in academic publishing and funding for nuclear research could provide insights into this authorship trend. Further watchful observation is needed on the growing emphasis on interdisciplinary research, which may also contribute to changing authorship patterns.
