In 2023, Germany's means-tested net social protection stood at 140.5 billion Euros. Over the forecast period from 2024 to 2028, this figure is expected to rise steadily, reaching 155.87 billion Euros. Year-on-year growth rates for the respective years are approximately 2.22% for 2025, 2.15% for 2026, 2.09% for 2027, and 2.02% for 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years is forecasted at approximately 2.12%.
Future trends to watch for in Germany's means-tested social protection include the effects of demographic changes, policy shifts due to economic conditions, and evolving socio-economic needs which may influence funding and allocation priorities.