The forecast for imports of fluorescent hot cathode discharge lamps with double-ended caps to Germany from 2024 to 2028 indicates a consistent decline in volume. With a value standing at 19.845 million items in 2024, the projections show a reduction to 7.8972 million items by 2028. This demonstrates a year-on-year decrease, averaging approximately 20% annually between consecutive years. By contrast, the five-year CAGR further confirms the ongoing decreasing trend due to technological advancements, shifts towards more energy-efficient lighting alternatives, and evolving regulatory frameworks.

Future trends to watch for include:

Continued shift towards LED and other energy-efficient lighting solutions.
Potential regulatory interventions encouraging eco-friendly lighting alternatives.
The impact of sustainability initiatives on lighting technology preferences in Germany.