Based on the available data, the share of scientific publications in public health, environmental, and occupational health from the US among the world's top 10% most-cited publications is projected to decrease modestly from 2024 to 2028. The values demonstrate a gradual decline, with 11.82 in 2024 down to 11.24 in 2028. In 2023, this share stood at an estimated 11.97, marking a downward trend from 2023 to 2024.

Year-on-year, the decline averages around 0.14% from 2024 onward, indicating a slight but consistent reduction in the US's share of top-cited works. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 reveals a relatively stable yet declining trajectory.

Future trends to watch for:

Impact of collaborations and global partnerships on citation metrics.
Emergence of digital health solutions and their influence on publication impact.
Potential increased research funding and policy changes towards public health crises.