Forecast: Perinatal Mortality in Canada

The perinatal mortality rate in Canada has shown a general declining trend from 2013, with the value standing at 5.5 deaths per thousand births in 2023. Year-on-year fluctuations have been marginal, with notable declines in 2016, 2019, and 2022. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has averaged at -1.06%, indicating a steady improvement in perinatal outcomes. Looking ahead, the forecasted data shows a continued decrease in perinatal mortality, reaching 5.2 deaths per thousand births by 2028. This represents a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.75%, translating to a total reduction of approximately 3.7% over the forecasted period.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in prenatal care, improvements in healthcare infrastructure, and potential public health policies aimed at reducing perinatal mortality. Additionally, monitoring economic and social factors that influence healthcare access and outcomes will be crucial in shaping this trend.

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