In Argentina, the forecasted Baccille Calmette Guérin (BCG) immunization coverage in children aged 1 year old shows a slight decrease from 92% in 2024 to 90% in 2028. In 2023, the BCG immunization coverage stood at 93%. The year-on-year variation from 2023 to 2024 is approximately -1.1%, then stabilizes with small changes of -1.1% per year from 2025 through 2028.
The observed trend over the recent years shows a gradual but consistent decline in BCG vaccination coverage. The 5-year CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) from 2024 to 2028 is around -0.5%, indicating a slight average annual decrease.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in public health policies, vaccine supply stability, and evolving public perception towards immunization. These factors could either stabilize or further influence the BCG vaccination rates in Argentina. Enhanced public health campaigns and improved logistics could be critical in reversing the decline and maintaining or increasing the coverage.
