Forecast: Goods Transported by Railway National Transport in Finland

The national transport of goods by railway in Finland displayed fluctuating trends from 2013 to 2023. Having started at 6.5 billion tonne kilometers in 2013, the transported volume fell significantly over the next couple of years, hitting a low of 5.85 billion in 2015. A period of growth followed, peaking at 7.17 billion in 2021, before concluding at 6.58 billion in 2023. This constitutes a -10.79% year-on-year decline for 2023 and a -1.37% CAGR over the last five years.

Looking ahead to the forecasted data between 2024 to 2028, the volumes are expected to gradually decline, with a five-year forecasted CAGR of -0.25%. The volume of goods transported by rail is projected to decrease slightly each year, ending at 6.47 billion tonne kilometers by 2028.

Future trends to watch include:

  • The potential impact of economic conditions on national railway transport volumes.
  • The role of environmental policies in promoting or restraining rail transport.
  • Technological advancements in rail logistics and their influence on efficiency.
  • Changes in competition with other transport modes such as road and sea.

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