Forecast: Total Primary Education Repeaters in Ghana

The number of total primary education repeaters in Ghana has experienced a notable decline from 104.77 thousand persons in 2013 to 56.94 thousand persons in 2023. This trend has been consistent with only minor fluctuations, particularly between 2013 and 2015. The year-on-year variation percentage generally shows a declining trend over the past decade. Specifically, the last two years, 2022 and 2023, saw reductions of 6.23% and 6.51% respectively. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the last five years from 2018 to 2023 is approximately -6%, indicating a steady yearly decrease. It is forecasted that by 2028, the total primary education repeaters will reduce further to 36.22 thousand persons, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -7.18% and a total 5-year growth rate decline of -31.12%.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of educational policy changes, improvements in early education quality, and potential socioeconomic factors that may influence repetition rates. Monitoring these variables will be crucial in understanding and predicting future trends in primary education repetition in Ghana.

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