In 2023, total sardine production in capture fisheries in France was recorded at a higher level than the forecasted 2024 figure of 23.2 thousand metric tons. Between 2024 and 2028, the production is expected to decrease annually, indicating a steady downward trend. The year-on-year variations suggest a consistent decline: -1.85% from 2024 to 2025, -1.85% from 2025 to 2026, -1.92% from 2026 to 2027, and -1.92% from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects a gradual decline in sardine production.

Future trends to watch for include:

Environmental factors and their impact on sardine habitats, which may influence capture yields.
Governmental and international fishing regulations affecting total allowable catch limits.
Market demand shifts that might catalyze investment in sardine aquaculture as a buffer against declining wild captures.