Forecast: International Railway Passenger Traffic in Germany

The international railway passenger traffic in Germany has experienced significant fluctuations over the past decade, with notable declines during 2020 due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. After a recovery in 2022, traffic stood at 4.64 billion passenger kilometers in 2023, a decrease of 19.16% from the previous year and indicating a negative CAGR of -1.69% over the last five years. Forecasted data suggest a consistent slight decline of 0.54% CAGR from 2024 to 2028, with values tapering down to 4.48 billion passenger kilometers by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Impacts of climate policies and environmental considerations on railway transportation.
  • Technological advancements, such as high-speed trains and digitalization, affecting passenger preferences.
  • Post-pandemic recovery trends and shifts in travel behavior and commute patterns.

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