Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health in Brazil

The share of Brazil's scientific publications in the world's top-cited public health, environmental, and occupational health papers is forecasted to progressively grow from 6.9% in 2024 to 7.61% in 2028. Compared to 2023, where the share stood at 6.63%, this indicates a consistent year-on-year growth. The year-on-year increase from 2024 to 2025 is approximately 2.61%, with similar upward trends continuing through 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is projected to be around 2.53%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential impact of increased funding and focused research initiatives on publication share.
  • The role of international collaborations in bolstering Brazil’s research influence.
  • Shifts in global scientific interests and their effects on publication citations.

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