The import of waste or scrap of unbleached kraft or paperboard to Japan has been on a declining trajectory since 2024. From 2024 to 2028, imports are forecasted to fall from 14.124 million kilograms to 3.4914 million kilograms. Year-on-year, this represents declines of approximately 19.4% from 2024 to 2025, 23.5% from 2025 to 2026, 30.2% from 2026 to 2027, and 42.4% from 2027 to 2028. With a CAGR of -32.5% from 2024 to 2028, this trend indicates a sharp contraction in imports. In 2023, the levels were considerably higher, indicating a significant shift in import behavior.
Future trends to watch for:
- Global market shifts in demand and supply for unbleached kraft or paperboard affecting import levels
- Changes in Japan's domestic production capacity for paper products
- Governmental policies on recycling and sustainable materials impacting imports
- Trade agreements or tariffs affecting import costs and volumes
