Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health in the UK

Between 2023 and 2028, the share of the corresponding or leading author in scientific publications within Public Health, Environmental, and Occupational Health in the UK is forecasted to decline from 83.42% in 2023 to 80.47% in 2028.

Year-on-year variations indicate a downward trend: -0.70% in 2025, -0.72% in 2026, -0.71% in 2027, and -0.70% in 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 suggests an average annual decrease of -0.71%.

Looking ahead, it is essential to monitor:

  • The impact of collaborative research models and international partnerships on authorship dynamics.
  • Potential policy changes affecting research funding and publication incentives in public health sectors.

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