Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Chemical Health and Safety in Germany

The share of Germany's scientific publications in chemical health and safety among the world's top-cited 10% is projected to decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, this share was higher compared to the forecast values initiated from 2024. Year-on-year, the trend shows a consistent decline of approximately 0.39 units each year, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around -7.13% from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of increased global competition on Germany's research visibility.
  • Potential policy changes influencing scientific research funding and priority areas.
  • Technological advancements that might alter publication dynamics.

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