The arable land and permanent crops area in China has experienced a continuous decline from 2013 to 2019, dropping from 1.3318 million square kilometers to 1.2866 million square kilometers. The rate of decline slowed significantly post-2019, stabilizing at a nearly constant level of around 1.2865 million square kilometers from 2020 onward. As of 2023, the value remains at 1.2865 million square kilometers. The historical year-on-year decline varied from -0.56% to -0.58% annually until 2019, followed by a period of minor fluctuations and eventual stabilizations, with the last two years showing minimal variations.
From a CAGR perspective, the five-year average annual decline decreased considerably from -0.57% to a stabilization at -0.12% by 2023. Forecasted data indicates no growth or decline from 2024 to 2028, with the area of arable land and permanent crops remaining stable at 1.2866 million square kilometers, reflecting a period of equilibrium.
Future trends to watch for include potential policy changes impacting land use, technological advancements in agriculture increasing agricultural efficiency, and environmental factors influencing land conservation and usage. Monitoring these variables will be critical in predicting future shifts in arable land and crop areas.
