Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in Vietnam

The mortality caused by road traffic injury in Vietnam has seen a steady increase over the past decade. As of 2023, the rate stood at 31.9 deaths per hundred thousand persons. The year-on-year variation in the last two years shows a consistent upward trend, with a 1.29% increase in 2022 and a 1.27% increase in 2023. The CAGR over the last five years is 1.78%, indicating a moderate annual rise.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data suggest that this trend will continue, with an average annual increase (CAGR) of 0.97% from 2024 to 2028. By 2028, the mortality rate is expected to reach 33.9 deaths per hundred thousand persons, representing a 4.95% increase over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of new traffic regulations, advancements in road safety technology, and public health initiatives aimed at reducing traffic-related fatalities. These factors could potentially alter the current upward trajectory of road traffic mortality rates in Vietnam.