The commercial and public services sector's consumption of natural gas in the UK is forecasted to grow gradually from 6.67 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) in 2024 to 6.77 Mtoe by 2028. The year-on-year increases are modest, with the annual growth rate hovering around 0.3% to 0.4%. In 2023, the consumption was likely similar to the 2024 forecast, given the continuation of historical trends. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is projected to be steady but minimal.
Looking forward, key trends to monitor include advancements in energy efficiency, shifts toward renewable energy sources, and changes in energy policies that might impact natural gas demand. Additionally, technological innovations and decarbonization goals could further influence consumption patterns.
