An analysis of the bulky municipal waste generated in Australia from 2013 to 2023 shows a notable downward trend. In 2023, the volume stood at 549.79 thousand metric tons, a significant decrease from the initial 684.73 thousand metric tons in 2013. The year-on-year variations indicate a general trend of decline, with slight fluctuations. For instance, 2014 saw a steep decline of 9.38%, while other years like 2015 and 2018 saw modest increases or minimal changes. Over the last two years, the year-on-year variation has been around -0.7%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) analysis over the last five years indicates an average annual decline of approximately -0.68%.
Looking ahead to the forecast period from 2024 to 2028, the trend of declining bulky municipal waste generation is expected to persist, with a forecasted CAGR of -0.59%, amounting to a cumulative decrease of -2.93% by 2028. Future trends to watch for include changes in waste management policies, improvements in recycling technologies, and shifts in consumer behavior towards more sustainable practices. These factors could further influence the rate of bulky waste generation in Australia.