Forecast: Oil Import to China

In 2023, China's oil imports stood at approximately 12.4 million barrels per day. The forecast data for 2024 to 2028 indicates a consistent growth pattern, with imports increasing annually. Specifically, the annual growth rates are approximately 1.98% from 2024 to 2025, 1.86% from 2025 to 2026, 1.83% from 2026 to 2027, and 1.79% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is approximately 1.86%, reflecting steady growth in oil imports over these years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Geopolitical influences affecting oil supply chains.
  • The impact of global energy transition policies on fossil fuel demand in China.
  • Technological advancements in energy efficiency and alternative energy sources adoption by China.

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