The regular national traffic of buses and coaches in Poland reached 1.26 billion vehicle-kilometers in 2023. Observing the 2023 value, it indicates a slight recovery from the significant decline observed in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which saw a near 20% drop. However, the overall trend over the past decade demonstrates a gradual decrease. The year-on-year variation in 2023 was 2.87%, following a substantial rise of 15.86% in 2022.
Looking at the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years, the market contracted slightly by 0.41%. Moving forward, forecasts indicate a continued decline, with an average reduction of 1% per year until 2028, resulting in an overall decrease in volume of around 4.92% over those five years.
Trends to watch for:
- The impact of sustainable transport policies and investments in electrification of bus fleets.
- Changes in consumer behavior toward alternative transport modes post-pandemic.
