From 2013 to 2019, the share of surgery specialists in Poland showed a general declining trend, marked by consistent year-on-year decreases, culminating in a significant drop of 3.3% in 2019. This period witnessed a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -2%, indicating a persistent reduction. In 2020, the trend reversed slightly with a modest increase which continued until 2023. However, the overall CAGR from 2019 to 2023 remained marginally negative at -0.27%. As of 2023, the share stood at 21.8% of total physicians.
Looking into the forecast from 2024 onwards, the share is expected to gradually decrease each year, reflecting a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.5%, and an overall growth rate of -2.49% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- The impact of healthcare policies and reforms on the workforce distribution in the medical sector.
- Technological advancements and their influence on medical specializations.
- The potential effects of demographic changes, such as an aging population, on the demand for surgery specialists.
- The influence of educational and training programs on the supply of surgery specialists.
