The data indicates that the percentage of households in Sweden devoting more than 40% of their income to housing costs is projected to decrease from 0.76% in 2024 to 0.67% in 2028. To provide context, in 2023, this figure stood at 0.78%. Year-on-year, the data shows a marginal decline, with a reduction of 2.63% from 2024 to 2025, 4.05% from 2025 to 2026, 2.82% from 2026 to 2027, and 2.90% from 2027 to 2028. Over the last two years (2023-2025), this reduction is notably 5.13%, while the CAGR over the next five-year span is approximately -2.90% per annum.
Future trends to watch for include factors affecting housing affordability such as changes in interest rates, housing supply, and economic policies. Monitoring these could influence this forecast and potentially lead to further decreases or stabilization in housing cost overburden.
