The forecast for nitrogen imports into the UK shows a gradual decline from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, the imports stood at 14.1 million kilograms. From 2024, a slight year-on-year decrease is observed, with the import volume decreasing by approximately 1.6% annually, leading to a cumulative decline to 12.976 million kilograms by 2028. This trend reflects a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -1.6% over five years, indicating a steady reduction in nitrogen import volumes.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential changes in nitrogen import demand due to agricultural policy shifts or environmental regulations.
Technological advancements that could reduce dependency on imports by enhancing domestic nitrogen production.
Global economic conditions that may affect the UK's import capabilities and pricing.