From 2024 to 2028, there is a slight decline in the share of U.S. scientific publications in developmental biology appearing among the world's top 10% of cited publications, dropping from 12.1% in 2024 to 11.84% in 2028. This trend reflects a very modest negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecast period. Indications from the unchanged data of 2023, which set the baseline, suggest the U.S. confronts mounting global competition in this field.
Future trends to watch include increased research investment from emerging economies, shifts in collaborative international efforts, and evolution in funding priorities, all potentially impacting the U.S.'s share in top-cited publications.
