The refinery output of gas oil and diesel oil in Germany is projected to decline gradually from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 39.53 million tonnes in 2024, the output decreases year-on-year, reaching 38.37 million tonnes by 2028. The average annual rate of change over this period indicates a steady, albeit slow, downward trend.

In comparison to 2023, when the output was slightly above 39.53 million tonnes, this forecast denotes a consistent decline across the forecast period. This reflects a period of transformation in the energy sector, influenced by regulatory, technological, and environmental factors.

Future trends to watch for include:

Advancements in renewable energy production could accelerate the decline in reliance on traditional fuel outputs like diesel.
Regulatory changes, such as stricter emissions standards, may impact refinery outputs further.
Economic factors, such as energy demand fluctuations and geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains, will also play a significant role.