Forecast: Sold Production of Frozen Poultry Meat in Germany

Over the past decade, the sold production of frozen poultry meat in Germany has demonstrated fluctuating trends with significant declines and sporadic rebounds. From a value of 433.09 million kilograms in 2013, there has been an overall downward trajectory, reaching 261.09 million kilograms by 2023, marking a -6.92% drop from the previous year. The most notable declines were observed in 2016 and 2019, with decreases of -17.01% and -35.49%, respectively. Conversely, 2018 and 2022 showed significant recoveries with increases of 21.71% and 42.5%, respectively. The average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the last five years (from 2019 to 2023) was -8%, reflecting a general declining trend in production volume.

Looking ahead, forecasts suggest a continuation of this downward trend, with projections estimating the production volume to fall to 138.42 million kilograms by 2028, representing a negative CAGR of -10.13% over the next five years. This significant reduction points to a forecasted overall decrease of -41.36% from current levels. Key future trends to monitor include changes in consumer preference, advancements in alternative protein sources, and potential regulatory impacts on poultry production. These factors could further influence market dynamics and production outcomes in the coming years.