Forecast: Measles Immunisation in Canada

The measles immunisation rate in Canada showed a consistent pattern from 2013 to 2023, with the value remaining predominantly steady at 90 units of children immunised, except for a brief dip to 89 in 2015 and 2016. The year-on-year variation indicates minimal changes, generally oscillating around 0%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years before 2023 was zero, indicating no growth or decline in immunisation rates.

Looking ahead from 2024 onwards, measles immunisation rates are forecasted to stay constant at 90 units. The projected 5-year CAGR through 2028 also remains at zero, suggesting no anticipated changes in the immunisation rates.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of new public health policies, advances in vaccine technology, and societal factors such as public perception of vaccine safety. Monitoring these could help provide early indications of any deviations from the current stable trend.

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