The forecast for tuberculosis prevalence in Brazil indicates a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the prevalence stood at 42 cases per hundred thousand persons. By 2028, it is expected to decrease to 36 cases, representing a notable improvement. The year-on-year change shows a steady decrease: 2025 (-2.44%), 2026 (-2.50%), 2027 (-5.13%), and 2028 (-2.70%). Over the five-year span from 2023 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate is forecasted to be about -3.1%, illustrating a strong downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include improvements in healthcare access and the introduction of advanced treatments that may accelerate this decline. Monitoring the impact of governmental healthcare policies and international collaborations aimed at TB eradication will be crucial, as well as tracking any potential resistance to existing TB treatments.
