The forecast for nectarine areas under conversion to organic farming in Italy from 2024-2028 indicates a downward trend. In 2023, the area stood at 35 hectares. Year-on-year, the decline begins with a -9.13% change from 2023 to 2024, followed by -9.38%, -7.41%, -7.41%, and -8.00% reaching 23 hectares by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is approximately -8.29%, suggesting a consistent reduction in conversion efforts.

Looking ahead, factors to consider include:

Policy changes or incentives in organic agriculture that could alter current trajectories.
Technological advancements in organic farming reducing conversion costs.
Market demand for organic produces which might trigger renewed interest in expanding organic hectarage.