In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in pulmonary and respiratory medicine in France stood at 92.2%. The forecast for the years 2024 to 2028 shows a gradual and slight decline from 92.12% in 2024 to 91.76% in 2028. This reflects a consistent but minor annual decrease with an overall downward trend. Over the next five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to be negative, indicating a slow shift in authorship patterns.
Future trends to watch include the potential for increasing collaboration across countries, which may diversify authorship roles, and the influence of open-access publications on authorship dynamics within the field. Monitoring these factors could provide further insight into the evolving landscape of scientific publication in this specialty.
