The coniferous sawnwood production in Kenya remained stable from 2013 to 2019, with a constant output of 266 thousand cubic meters per year. However, in 2020, production saw a notable decline of 5.64%, bringing the value down to 251 thousand cubic meters. This reduced level of production persisted through 2021 and 2022. In 2023, there was a slight uptick of 1.13%, bringing the production to 253.83 thousand cubic meters. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the last five years showed a slight decline of -0.93%. Looking ahead, forecasts suggest a gradual increase in production, reaching 267.46 thousand cubic meters by 2028, with a forecasted five-year CAGR of 0.83%. This implies an overall growth rate of 4.23% over the period.
Future trends to watch for:
- Technological advancements in sustainable forestry practices which could boost production efficiency.
- Government policies and environmental regulations impacting logging activities and conservation efforts.
- Market demand shifts, both domestically and internationally, influencing production levels.
- Impact of climate change on forest ecosystems and timber resources.