The railway transport volume of dangerous goods in the UK is forecasted to decrease slightly over the coming years. From a volume of 4.11 million metric tons in 2024, it is expected to reduce gradually to 3.97 million metric tons by 2028. In 2023, the volume stood slightly below the 2024 forecast, estimated at around 4.12 million metric tons. This reflects a steady decline, with an average yearly decrease of about 0.7% over the five-year period, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -0.7%.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in railway safety regulations and technology, which could affect volumes of dangerous goods transported. Additionally, shifts in industrial activity and environmental policies may lead to changes in transportation patterns, influencing these forecasts.