The forecast for the poultry meat import volume in South Africa shows a steady increase over the coming years. In 2023, the volume was recorded at an actual value that is expected to rise progressively from 2024 onwards. For 2024, the estimated import volume stands at 592.35 thousand metric tons, increasing to 605.44 in 2025, 618.27 in 2026, 630.85 in 2027, and 643.17 thousand metric tons in 2028. The year-on-year percentage variation from 2024 to 2025 is approximately 2.21%, from 2025 to 2026 is 2.12%, from 2026 to 2027 is 2.03%, and from 2027 to 2028 is 1.96%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period is around 2.08%.
Future trends to watch for:
- Changes in consumer preferences towards local versus imported poultry meat
- Trade policies and tariffs affecting import volumes
- Economic factors such as disposable income and inflation
- Developments in poultry farming within South Africa that could impact domestic supply
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