Forecast: Number of Scientific Publications in Health Professions in Saudi Arabia

The number of scientific publications in health professions in Saudi Arabia has shown significant growth over the past years, with 2023 standing at 241.56 units. From 2013 to 2019, the growth was relatively modest, with occasional declines, but from 2020 onwards, the number of publications surged dramatically. The year 2020 experienced a substantial increase of 46.69%, and this upward trend continued, with the most notable rise in 2021 at 65.66%. By 2023, the year-on-year increase settled at 28.14%, indicating continued but somewhat stabilized growth. Over the last five years, the CAGR averaged 44.86%, reflecting a robust upward trajectory.

• 2013: Year-on-year variation of 59.5%, CAGR of 41.83%
• 2014: Year-on-year variation of 31.93%, CAGR of 45.1%
• 2015: Year-on-year variation of 28.57%, CAGR of 51.27%
• 2016: Year-on-year variation of 2.02%, CAGR of 21.83%
• 2017: Year-on-year variation of -13.69%, CAGR of 18.96%
• 2018: Year-on-year variation of -7.41%, CAGR of 6.7%
• 2019: Year-on-year variation of 46.93%, CAGR of 9.02%
• 2020: Year-on-year variation of 46.69%, CAGR of 11.93%
• 2021: Year-on-year variation of 65.66%, CAGR of 23.33%
• 2022: Year-on-year variation of 39.44%, CAGR of 35.75%
• 2023: Year-on-year variation of 28.14%, CAGR of 44.86%

Looking ahead, the forecasted data suggests a continuing upward trend, with a forecasted CAGR of 11.31% over the next five years leading to a growth rate of 70.84% by 2028. Future trends to watch for include the impact of increased investments in research infrastructure and international collaborations that could further accelerate publication growth.