The forecasted yield for primary fibre crops in South Africa shows a significant downward trend from 2024 to 2028. Starting from 714 hectograms per hectare in 2024, the yield is expected to decline steadily to 254 hectograms per hectare by 2028. This represents a sharp year-on-year decrease, with a notable reduction each year.
The calculated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is highly indicative of a declining trend, averaging a significant reduction per year.
The last two years, 2026 and 2027, saw yields decrease dramatically, highlighting the consistent downward trend in fibre crop productivity.
Future trends to watch include advancements in agricultural technology, climate change impacts, and potential policy changes that could influence crop yield productivity. Environmental factors and sustainable farming practices will also be crucial areas to monitor closely for their potential impact on reversing or mitigating this declining trend.
