In 2023, fossil energy final consumption in rail transport in Germany was recorded at approximately 710.0 Thousand Tonnes of Oil Equivalent. The forecast for 2024 indicates a consumption of 682.69, marking a decline from the previous year. Year-on-year, there is a noticeable reduction, with projected values falling to 654.7 in 2025, 626.99 in 2026, 599.56 in 2027, and 572.4 in 2028. This trend highlights a consistent decrease with an approximate average annual decline (CAGR) of about 4% over the five-year forecasting period.

Future trends to watch for include:

The continued push for greener alternatives and electrification of rail transport, possibly accelerating the decline in fossil energy consumption.
Policy changes and investments in sustainable rail infrastructure influencing the speed and extent of this transition.
Technological innovations in energy efficiency and renewable integration within the rail sector.