In 2023, nuclear electricity generation in France stood at 376.37 thousand gigawatt-hours. Analyzing the past decade reveals a fluctuating trend. Notable peaks were seen in 2014 and 2015, achieving around 415.86 and 416.8 thousand gigawatt-hours respectively. However, post-2015, there has been a general decline, attributed to various factors such as aging infrastructure and increased regulatory pressures. The most significant year-on-year variation was observed in 2016 with a decrease of 7.87%, marking a considerable drop in production.
Focusing on the recent years, from 2021 to 2023, there have been minor fluctuations with a slight increase in 2022 at 4.86%, which was subsequently followed by a small decrease of 0.38% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years remains negative at -0.87%.
Future forecasts indicate a continued decline in nuclear electricity generation with the value forecasted to reach 367.77 thousand gigawatt-hours by 2028. The expected five-year CAGR is -0.31%, reflecting a steady decrease at an annual rate, compounded over the time period.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The impact of technological advancements on the efficiency of aging nuclear plants.
- Regulatory changes and their influence on nuclear energy policies.
- The development and integration of renewable energy sources potentially reducing reliance on nuclear power.