Forecast: Aviation Gasoline Final Consumption in Domestic Aviation in France

The final consumption of aviation gasoline in domestic aviation in France has shown significant fluctuations over the years. From 2013 to 2023, it started at 23.12 thousand tonnes of oil equivalent, with notable drops and sporadic increases, standing at 16.91 in 2023. A major drop occurred in 2014 (-18.18%) and again in 2020 (-10.21%), influenced likely by economic and operational disruptions. The post-pandemic recovery in 2021 saw an impressive 30.31% increase. However, in the following years, consumption decreased again, indicating volatility in the market.

Over the last two years (2022-2023), the year-on-year variations were -17.49% in 2022 and 0.6% in 2023, highlighting recent stabilization post-pandemic. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the past five years stands at -0.73%.

Looking ahead, forecast data suggests a gradual decline in aviation gasoline consumption, with a five-year CAGR of -1.04%, and reaching 15.82 by 2028. The five-year growth forecast stands at -5.08%. Key future trends to monitor include advancements in fuel efficiency, the transition to sustainable aviation fuel, and fluctuating air travel demand influenced by global and domestic factors.