Based on the provided data, the final consumption of natural gas by commercial and public services in Germany showed fluctuations over the past years, with values declining from 415.92 thousand terajoules in 2013 to a lower point of 380.39 thousand terajoules in 2014. However, the trend began to recover, reaching 448.67 thousand terajoules by 2021. The last recorded actual value for 2023 stood at 445.42 thousand terajoules. Over the most recent two years, the consumption showed slight variances of -1.53% in 2022 and 0.81% in 2023.
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years highlighted mediocre growth with an average of -0.14%. Looking ahead, the forecast predicts a steady increase in the consumption of natural gas, with a CAGR of 0.61% over the next five years, projecting consumption to rise to 462.87 thousand terajoules by 2028. This reflects an overall potential growth rate of 3.09% by the end of this forecasted period.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of energy policies aimed at reducing carbon footprints, technological advancements in energy efficiency, and shifts in energy sources due to the geopolitical landscape, which could further influence the natural gas consumption patterns in Germany’s commercial and public sectors.