The road passenger transport movements by buses and coaches in Italy experienced a relatively stable trend between 2013 and 2019, with slight year-on-year variations and a modest compound annual growth rate (CAGR). However, the sector saw a significant decline in 2020 due to the global pandemic, with passenger kilometers dropping by over 43%. The subsequent recovery in 2021 and 2022 was substantial, though not sufficient to return to pre-pandemic levels. By 2023, the sector showed a further decline of over 11% year-on-year, standing at 78.82 billion passenger kilometers. The forecast from 2024 onwards indicates a continual annual decline, with a projected CAGR of -3.89% over the next five years, emphasizing a gradual reduction in passenger kilometers to 61.77 billion by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the shift towards more sustainable and integrated urban transport solutions, advancements in electric and autonomous bus technologies, and potential changes in commuter behavior post-pandemic that could influence demand for bus and coach travel in Italy.
