Forecast: Skim Milk Consumption in the US

The historical data on skim milk consumption in the US indicates a consistent downward trend from 2013 to 2023, decreasing from 22.44 pounds to 6.83 pounds. The year-on-year decline has averaged around 10% over the past decade, with substantial drops in recent years.

The year 2023 saw a consumption value of 6.83 pounds, marking a significant 12.8% decrease from the previous year. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years (2018-2023) stands at -10.86%, emphasizing the accelerating decline in skim milk consumption.

Looking ahead, forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a further steep decline, with a five-year forecasted CAGR of -22.51%, resulting in an anticipated consumption of only 1.6 pounds by 2028. This indicates a projected 72.07% drop over the period.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Evolving consumer preferences towards plant-based milk alternatives.
  • Potential increases in health-conscious behaviors impacting dairy consumption.
  • Market responses and innovations from dairy producers to counteract declining demand.

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