The export of shelled walnuts from the Netherlands to Sweden has demonstrated a consistent upward trend from 2013 to 2023. As of 2023, the export value stood at 8.47 million USD. This growth trajectory, however, has experienced significant fluctuations year-on-year, with notable increases in certain years such as 2016 and 2020, and periods of decline or moderate growth in other years. The last two years saw year-on-year variations of 8.22% in 2022 and 7.5% in 2023, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.58% over the last five years.
Looking forward, the forecast for the ensuing five years (2024-2028) indicates a more moderate but steady growth trend with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 4.6%, suggesting an average annual growth rate of 25.22% in total by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include potential market saturation, changing consumer preferences towards other nuts, and the impact of global economic conditions on trade policies. These factors could influence both the growth rate and absolute export values in the coming years. Additionally, advancements in agricultural technology and sustainability practices could play a significant role in shaping the market dynamics.