The forecast for whole fresh red mullet production in capture fisheries for human consumption in Italy indicates a declining trend from 2024 through 2028, with production decreasing from 2.49 to 1.47 thousand metric tons. As of 2023, production stood higher, suggesting a consistent downtrend projected in the coming years. Year-on-year, the production is expected to decline steadily by about 10% to 15%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five years ending in 2028 reflects an average annual decrease of approximately 11%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Development in sustainable fishing practices aiming to stabilize or increase red mullet populations.
- Potential shifts in consumer preferences toward alternative seafood options.
- Impact of regulatory changes on fisheries management and capture limits.
- Potential effects of climate change on marine ecosystems and species availability.